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Director of Hamak Gold transfers shares to personal ISA account

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Hamak Gold director transfers shares to personal ISA account

Documentary: The Cat Man Eshete’s Journey – An Ethiopian Refugee’s Life on the Streets of New York

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The extraordinary story of Eshete, a refugee who escaped war in Ethiopia as a young man and is now a devoted caretaker of a feral cat colony in New York City.

Eshete has become the heart of a close-knit community while living on the streets. Together with neighbours who help feed the cats and look out for him, Eshete’s story reveals a moving portrait of grassroots community care.

The Cat Man Eshete is a documentary film by Laura Checkoway.

Former Commerce Secretary of Trump administration warns of potential damage to trade relationships with allies due to White House’s overconfidence

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  • Trump’s former Commerce Secretary, Wilbur Ross, warns that while the U.S. has achieved notable progress in trade negotiations, overconfidence could lead American negotiators to push too hard for concessions foreign governments cannot make. He is particularly concerned that “chesty” tactics with complex partners like the European Union could stall agreements—something Jamie Dimon has warned could ultimately strengthen America’s rivals.

As the world’s largest economy, America can be fairly confident in its negotiating power with trading partners. However, the Trump administration cannot overplay its hand as it may result in allies being pushed into the arms of rivals, according to experts like former Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross and Jamie Dimon.

This is a scenario which JPMorgan Chase CEO Dimon has sounded the alarm on since Trump made his tariff agenda public. Writing in this year’s letter to shareholders, the “white knight of Wall Street” wrote that America-first is “fine” as long as it doesn’t result in “America alone.”

Meanwhile President Trump’s former Commerce Secretary, Wilbur Ross, is concerned that the administration’s Achilles heel may prove to be its confidence—potentially spurred by quickly signing framework deals with the likes of the U.K. and China.

Ross said that overall he believes President Trump and his team are handling negotiations well and have already achieved some major goals. But he added his one fear is that the government may get too “chesty.”

He told Fortune in an exclusive interview: “The very fact that they’ve made as much progress as they have shows the basic power of the U.S. to get people to come around.”

“In fact my one fear is that if our government feels too chesty with their progress, they may overplay the hand and get to levels that are hard—maybe even impossible—for the other countries to give in. That’s my biggest worry right now because it’s easy to get carried away with early successes.”

As well as a deal with the U.K. being reached and a framework with China, positive signals are also coming out of talks with India and Japan.

“What I think is very important [is] …  even though they’ve taken initiatives with some 70-odd countries, in reality, there are only about four or five that make a lot of difference because they’re the ones that move the needle, and [Trump] seems to be doing pretty well,” Secretary Ross added. 

“With, I would say, the exception of the EU … it’s very difficult for the EU to make trade concessions because it’s not really one entity. You’ve got the 27 member states and each one of those has a different set of objectives, but each one has veto power, so it’s very tough to get a deal with the EU.”

The EU may be one of the “slower” deals, he added, while Japan, China, and Vietnam he expects to be “fairly quick.”

Problem areas

The European Union, which Trump has previously claimed was created with the sole purpose of working against America, is among the regions most likely to pose a problem if the Oval Office is too confident in its approach, said Secretary Ross.

Already, the president has vented his frustrations with a lack of progress when it comes to negotiating with the EU, previously posting an outburst on Truth Social saying the EU would be facing a 50% tariff because of its lack of action. This 50% tariff was then paused for 90 days.

When asked by Fortune which region may lead to a stalemate in talks, Secretary Ross said: “The EU is definitely a possibility, simply because it’s hard for them to take a united front. 

“But someone like a Vietnam, on whom he has imposed huge tariffs … that one frankly surprised me a little bit in that the reason our trade deficit suddenly shot up with Vietnam is there was a lot of factory movement from China to Vietnam.”

Keeping the European Union close in particular is a key concern of Dimon’s, on account of its history and the potential fragmentation of the bloc.

“This is going to be hard, but our country’s goal should be to help make European nations stronger and keep them close. If Europe’s economic weakness leads to fragmentation, the landscape will look a lot like the world before World War II,” he wrote earlier this year. Such fragmentation, over time, would increase European dependency on China and Russia, essentially turning Uncle Sam’s former allies into “vassal states” of its rivals.

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com

Top 20 Rankings for the Northeast Region in 2024

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2024 NORTHEAST REGION HIGH SCHOOL
FINAL TOP 20 RANKINGS

Northeast Region #1 – Staples High School (Westport, Connecticut)

Rank School Name City, State Record Previous Honors/Accomplishments
1 Staples High School Westport, Connecticut 22-1-0 1 Class L State Champions, FCIAC Champions
2 Darien High School Darien, Connecticut 20-3-0 2 Class L State Finalist
3 Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck, New York 22-0-0 3 NYS Class A State Champions, Section 1 A Champions
4 Burnt Hills-Ballston Lake High School Burnt Hills, New York 21-0-0 4 NYS Class B State Champions, Section 2 B Champions
5 Moses Brown School Providence, Rhode Island 16-1-0 5 Division 1 State Champions
6 Greenwich Academy Greenwich, Connecticut 16-3-2 9 NEPSAC A Semifinalist
7 Taft School Watertown, Connecticut 15-4-0 15 NEPSAC A Finalist
8 Hotchkiss School Lakeville, Connecticut 12-3-0 7 NEPSAC A Semifinalist
9 Sacred Heart Greenwich Greenwich, Connecticut 16-3-0 8 NEPSAC A Quarterfinalist
10 Whitney Point High School Whitney Point, New York 18-2-0 10 NYS Class C State Champions
11 Lakeland High School Shrub Oak, New York 20-3-0 13 NYS Class B State Finalist, Section 1 B Champions
12 Guilderland High School Guilderland Center, New York 16-5-0 NR NYS Class A State Finalist
13 Garden City High School Garden City, New York 13-3-0 14 Class B State Semifinalist
14 Sachem East High School Farmingville, New York 17-1-0 6 NYS Class A State Semifinalist
15 Wilton High School Wilton, Connecticut 15-5-0 18 Class L State Semifinalist
16 Ward Melville High School East Setauket, New York 14-2-1 11 Suffolk County Finalist
17 Northport High School Northport, New York 13-2-1 12 Suffolk County Semifinalist
18 Loomis Chaffee School Windsor, Connecticut 12-5-1 NR NEPSAC A Quarterfinalist
19 Greens Farms Academy Westport, Connecticut 19-5-0 19 NEPSAC C Champions
20 Nichols School Buffalo, New York 15-4-0 OC CISAA Champions
OC Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield, Connecticut 16-5-0 OC Class L State Semifinalist
OC Greenwich High School Greenwich, Connecticut 14-6-0 16 Class L Quarterfinalist
OC Harborfields High School Greenlawn, New York 17-3-0 NR Suffolk County B Champions, NYS Class B Round of 8
OC Manhasset High School Manhasset, New York 11-6-0 17 Nassau County B Finalist
OC Orchard Park High School Orchard Park, New York 16-2-0 OC Section VI A Champions, NYS Class A First Round
OC Rome Free Academy Rome, New York 18-2-0 OC Class A State Semifinalist, Section III A Champions

The post 2024 Final Northeast Region Top 20 Rankings appeared first on MAX Field Hockey.

Discovery of Protein may Aid in Treating Weight Loss Related to Cancer

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For the first time, researchers have identified a protein that represses the activity of energy-burning brown fat. The discovery opens the door to developing treatments for the extreme weight loss, muscle wasting, and malnutrition seen in some types of cancer.

Most research into energy-burning brown fat, also known as brown adipose tissue (BAT), has focused on finding ways to activate it, converting “bad” white fat to “good” brown fat to reap the associated health benefits.

Now, a new study led by researchers from the University of Barcelona (UB) in Spain has identified a protein molecule that represses the activation of BAT, and could be valuable for treating the malnutrition, weight loss and muscle wastage associated with some cancers.

“Although the problem is to know what reduces the activity of brown fat, until now, research has focused on identifying the factors that activate its function in the organism, but not the factors with a repressive function,” said corresponding author Professor Francesc Villarroya, from UB’s Faculty of Biology. “As a result, it was generally assumed that the low activity of brown fat in aging and obesity could be explained by the fact that its activators do not work properly.”

The function of white fat, or white adipose tissue (WAT), is primarily to store energy. It stores excess energy from food in the form of fat and releases it when needed, also providing insulation and cushioning. When WAT accumulates beyond what the body needs for energy storage, it can lead to obesity. BAT, on the other hand, burns fat and generates heat to maintain body temperature, a process called thermogenesis. Its brownish color is attributable to the large number of mitochondria, the cells’ energy-producing machinery. BAT can be activated to burn calories and produce heat when needed, such as in cold conditions.

In the present research, the researchers discovered for the first time that a particular protein, acyl CoA-binding protein (ACBP), acts like a brake on BAT’s thermogenesis. When lab cell cultures were given extra ACBP, their ability to burn fat and generate heat was reduced. The researchers then created mice with the ACBP gene removed only in brown fat cells and exposed the animals to cold and high-fat diets to see how their BAT responded. The ACBP-less mice had higher BAT activity, produced more heat, had smaller fat stores, better blood sugar control, and gained less weight despite eating a high-fat diet. The findings suggest that ACBP acts like a brown fat regulator, telling it to “cool it” when it’s been active for a while.

Cachexia is a wasting condition where people lose body fat and muscle despite how much they eat

Dr P. Marazzi/Science Source

While a high level of BAT activity is generally associated with a healthy metabolism, overactivation of BAT may become pathological in some cancers and in patients with severe burns. In these situations, BAT overactivation can lead to a complex metabolic disturbance known as cachexia, where the body breaks down muscle and fat at an accelerated rate, often despite adequate nutrition. It leads to unintentional weight loss, muscle loss, and overall tissue wasting that significantly impairs physical health and quality of life. Identifying the role of ACBP might lead to therapeutics to assist cachexic patients.

“In some cancers, brown adipose tissue becomes pathologically overactive and causes uncontrolled metabolic energy expenditure, leading to cachexia,” Villarroya said. “In this case, the function of the ACBP protein as a repressor factor could become a therapeutic tool of interest in cancer patients.”

Additionally, studies have shown that warmer ambient temperatures, such as those seen with global warming, can decrease the amount of BAT or make it less active, contributing to obesity. The researchers say ACBP may be playing a role here, too.

“An excess action of the ACBP protein blocking the activity of brown fat would be the molecular basis of this phenomenon,” said Villarroya. “Once this factor has been identified, we can design intervention tools to promote a healthier lifestyle.”

The study was published in the journal Molecular Metabolism.

Source: University of Barcelona

G7 Leaders Urge for Decrease in Tensions in the Middle East

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Nadine Yousif

BBC News, Toronto

Watch: A trade deal, a family photo and conflict in the Middle East – Trump’s short G7

The leaders of G7 nations have called for a “de-escalation of hostilities in the Middle East, including a ceasefire in Gaza”.

In a joint statement, they also reiterated their “commitment to peace and stability” in the region, adding that within this context “Israel has a right to defend itself”.

US President Donald Trump left the summit in Canada early telling reporters: “I have to be back early for obvious reasons.”

His exit came as Israel and Iran attacked each other for a fifth consecutive day.

Reports circulated that Trump had instructed the White House National Security Council to meet upon his return.

US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth announced the “deployment of additional capabilities” to the Middle East to enhance the Pentagon’s “defensive posture”. But American officials rejected suggestions the US was about to join the Israeli offensive on Iran.

The White House was at pains to emphasise that Trump had “a great day” at the summit, saying much was accomplished, including a trade deal between the US and UK.

The White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said Trump was leaving the gathering of world leaders at Kananaskis in the Canadian Rockies after dinner on Monday night because of “what’s going on in the Middle East”. She did not elaborate.

It means the US president will miss in-person meetings with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum that were scheduled for Tuesday, the final day of the summit.

Watch: “I have to be back”, says Trump on his early G7 departure

At a photo session on Monday, Trump said it was important he return to Washington for “big stuff”.

Earlier the president posted on social media that Iran should have signed a deal that he put forward to them in the most recent round of US-Iran nuclear talks.

“Simply stated, IRAN CAN NOT HAVE A NUCLEAR WEAPON,” he wrote. “I said it over and over again!”

Trump also urged Iranians on his social media platform Truth Social to “immediately evacuate” their capital, Tehran, a city of up to 17 million people. He did not offer further details.

Shortly afterwards, Iranian media reported explosions and heavy air defence fire in Tehran early on Tuesday. That came hours after Israel targeted Iran’s state broadcaster, forcing a presenter to flee mid-broadcast.

In Israel, air raid sirens wailed in Tel Aviv and an explosion was heard as Iranian missiles targeted the country again.

World leaders at the G7 summit said they understood Trump’s need to leave early.

“If the United States can achieve a ceasefire, that’s a very good thing,” said French President Emmanuel Macron.

Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said Trump’s exit was “understandable”, despite the two being scheduled to meet on Tuesday to discuss tariffs.

Moment debris falls in Iran state TV studio after Israeli strikes

There were signs of division earlier at the G7 over conflicts between Russia and Ukraine and between Israel and Iran.

Trump was planning to reject a summit statement on the Iran-Israel conflict, according to the BBC’s US partner CBS.

But the leaders ultimately agreed a statement, released on Monday night local time, which said they “reiterate our support for the security of Israel”.

“Iran is the principal source of regional instability and terror. We have been consistently clear that Iran can never have a nuclear weapon,” the statement added.

We have been consistently clear that Iran can never have a nuclear weapon.

Trump also said at the summit earlier that it had been a “big mistake” for the former G8 to expel Russia from the group in 2014 after it annexed Crimea.

“Putin speaks to me,” said the US president. “He doesn’t speak to anybody else… he’s not a happy person about it.”

But there was some progress as Trump and Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer signed a deal on tariffs.

Trump told reporters the UK was “very well protected” from future import taxes. “You know why? Because I like them.”

Israeli paramedics on the ground of missile strike in Haifa

Monday also saw a bilateral between Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and Trump, after which Carney said a trade deal might be struck between the two countries within 30 days to resolve tit-for-tat import taxes.

This marks the second time that Trump had left the G7 summit early. In 2018, at a summit in Quebec, he exited the gathering to meet North Korea’s leader Kim Jong Un.

Israel has claimed control of Iranian airspace since launching its air war last Thursday with a surprise attack that it says has killed many top military commanders and atomic scientists.

However, Israel does not appear to have achieved its goal of destroying Iran’s nuclear development programme.

Military analysts say only the US has the bombers and bunker-busting bombs that can penetrate the deepest of Iranian nuclear facilities, especially that of Fordow.

Israeli strikes have killed at least 224 people in Iran, according to the Iranian health ministry. In Israel, the government said at least 24 people had died.

Music publishers and Elon Musk’s X given 90-day pause in copyright lawsuit for negotiation efforts

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The many music publishers who sued Elon Musk’s X over alleged copyright infringement are aiming to settle the matter out of court.

That’s according to an order for a stay of proceedings filed by the court on Wednesday (June 11), and obtained by MBW.

According to the order, the judge has temporarily frozen all legal proceedings in this case for 90 days after both parties jointly requested the pause to try to settle the dispute outside of court.

An NMPA spokesperson told MBW on Monday (June 16) that “the intent of the stay is to discuss with X the resolution of the suit and proper compensation to songwriters and publishers for past unlicensed uses, while providing an opportunity for go forward licensing.”

A petition for a stay of proceedings was filed jointly by the publishers and X Corp on June 6 in a Tennessee federal court, where the legal showdown between the music companies and the platform formerly known as Twitter has been running for the past two years.

The music publishers and X Corp “have determined to engage in good-faith efforts to fully and amicably resolve this lawsuit,” stated the joint motion, which can be read in full here.

“Granting a 90-day stay may facilitate an orderly and negotiated resolution, and thus further the interest of judicial efficiency.”

According to the order granted on Wednesday, which you can see here, “if the discussions result in a resolution, the Parties will promptly file an appropriate dismissal with the Court”.

“The intent of the stay is to discuss with X the resolution of the suit and proper compensation to songwriters and publishers for past unlicensed uses, while providing an opportunity for go forward licensing.”

NMPA spokesperson

It added: “If the Parties’ discussions are not successful, the Parties will promptly notify the Court. If discussions remain productive, but a resolution has not been reached within 90 days, the Parties may jointly request a further extension.”

Numerous music publishers, including Sony Music Publishing, Universal Music Publishing Group, and Warner Chappell Music, sued X Corp in June 2023, alleging “rampant infringement of copyrighted music” on X.

Joining the three major publishers in the lawsuit are Downtown Music, Hipgnosis Songs Group, Kobalt, peermusic, Reservoir Media, and others.

The initial complaint sought more than $250 million in damages for “hundreds of thousands” of alleged infringements of approximately 1,700 works.

“Twitter fuels its business with countless infringing copies of musical compositions, violating Publishers’ and others’ exclusive rights under copyright law,” the publishers’ complaint stated.

“Twitter knows full well that music is leaked, launched, and streamed by billions of people every day on its platform. No longer can it hide behind the DMCA and refuse to pay songwriters and music publishers.”

The DMCA, or Digital Millennium Copyright Act, is a US law that gives internet platforms immunity from copyright liability, provided the platform makes an effort to remove flagged content.

“Twitter stands alone as the largest social media platform that has completely refused to license the millions of songs on its service,” National Music Publishers Association (NMPA) President and CEO David Israelite said at the time.

In March 2024, per court documents, Judge Aleta Trauger of the US District Court for the Middle District of Tennessee partially granted X Corp’s motion to dismiss the case, throwing out charges of direct, vicarious, and contributory copyright infringement.

However, the judge allowed the case to go forward on three other allegations: That X provided “more lenient copyright enforcement to ‘verified users;’ that it failed to take down infringing materials “in a timely manner;” and that it “failed to take reasonable steps in response to severe serial infringers.”

The joint move by the publishers and X to attempt an out-of-court settlement comes in the wake of an escalating dispute over X Corp’s request for access to documents from the NMPA, which is not a plaintiff in the case but – according to X Corp’s lawyers – helped coordinate the lawsuit.

On May 30, X Corp’s lawyers asked a federal court in the District of Columbia to compel the NMPA to hand over documents related to the case held by Israelite. The documents evidently relate to a copyright infringement notification program developed by the NMPA, among other things.

A court filing shows that on Monday (June 9), X Corp withdrew the motion to compel, but reserved “all rights to refile based on the result of the parties’ good-faith efforts to fully and amicably resolve their dispute.”Music Business Worldwide

Trump’s less hawkish cabinet: How will it impact his response to the Israel-Iran conflict?

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Washington, DC – United States President Donald Trump has surrounded himself with a cabinet and inner circle that is markedly less hawkish on Iran than during his first term.

But analysts told Al Jazeera that it remains unclear whether the composition of Trump’s new cabinet will make a difference when it comes to how the administration responds to the escalating conflict between Iran and Israel.

Last week, fighting erupted when Israel launched surprise strikes on Tehran, prompting Iran to retaliate. That exchange of missiles and blasts has threatened to spiral into a wider regional war.

“I think there are fewer of the traditional Republican hawks in this administration,” said Brian Finucane, a senior analyst at the International Crisis Group, a think tank. “And you do have more prominent restraint-oriented or restraint-adjacent people.”

“The question is: How loud are they going to be?”

So far, the Trump administration has taken a relatively hands-off approach to Israel’s attacks, which Secretary of State Marco Rubio stressed were “unilateral”.

While the US has surged military assets to the region, it has avoided being directly involved in the confrontation. Trump also publicly opposed an Israeli strike on Iran in the weeks leading up to the attacks, saying he preferred diplomacy.

However, on Sunday, Trump told ABC News, “It’s possible we could get involved,” citing the risk to US forces in the region.

He has even framed Israel’s bombing campaign as an asset in the ongoing talks to curtail Iran’s nuclear programme, despite several top negotiators being killed by Israeli strikes.

Iran’s foreign minister, meanwhile, accused Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of “playing” Trump and US taxpayers for “fools”, saying the US president could end the fighting with “one phone call” to the Israeli leader.

‘Our interest very much is in not going to war with Iran’

Analysts agree that any course of action Trump takes will likely transform the conflict. It will also reveal how Trump is responding to the deep ideological rift within his Republican base.

One side of that divide embraces Trump’s “America First” ideology: the idea that the US’s domestic interests come before all others. That perspective largely eschews foreign intervention.

The other side of Trump’s base supports a neoconservative approach to foreign policy: one that is more eager to pursue military intervention, sometimes with the aim of forcing regime change abroad.

Both viewpoints are represented among Trump’s closest advisers. Vice President JD Vance, for instance, stands out as an example of a Trump official who has called for restraint, both in terms of Iran and US support for Israel.

In March, Vance notably objected to US strikes on Yemen’s Houthis, as evidenced in leaked messages from a private chat with other officials on the app Signal. In that conversation, Vance argued that the bombing campaign was a “mistake” and “inconsistent” with Trump’s message of global disengagement.

During the 2024 presidential campaign, Vance also warned that the US and Israel’s interests are “sometimes distinct… and our interest very much is in not going to war with Iran”.

According to experts, that kind of statement is rare to hear from a top official in the Republican Party, where support for Israel remains largely sacrosanct. Finucane, for instance, called Vance’s statements “very notable”.

“I think his office may be a critical one in pushing for restraint,” he added.

Other Trump officials have similarly built careers railing against foreign intervention, including Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, who testified in March that the US “continues to assess that Iran is not building a nuclear weapon”.

Trump’s special envoy to the Middle East, Steve Witkoff, who had virtually no previous diplomatic experience, had also floated the possibility of normalising relations with Tehran in the early days of the US-led nuclear talks.

By contrast, Secretary of State and acting National Security Adviser Marco Rubio established himself as a traditional neoconservative, with a “tough on Iran” stance, during his years-long tenure in the Senate. But since joining the Trump administration, Rubio has not broken ranks with the president’s “America First” foreign policy platform.

That loyalty is indicative of a wider tendency among Trump’s inner circle during his second term, according to Brian Katulis, a senior fellow at the Middle East Institute.

“I think Trump 2.0 has a cabinet of chameleons whose primary qualification is loyalty and fealty to Trump more than anything else,” he told Al Jazeera.

Katulis noted that the days of officials who stood up to Trump, like former Secretary of Defense James Mattis, were mostly gone — a relic of Trump’s first term, from 2017 to 2021.

The current defence secretary, former Fox News host Pete Hegseth, has shown an appetite for conducting aerial strikes on groups aligned with Iran, including the Houthis in Yemen.

But Hegseth told Fox News on Saturday that the president continues to send the message “that he prefers peace, he prefers a solution to this that is resolved at the table”.

‘More hawkish than MAGA antiwar’

All told, Trump continues to operate in an administration that is “probably more hawkish than MAGA antiwar”, according to Ryan Costello, the policy director at the National Iranian American Council, a lobby group.

At least one official, US Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee, has sought to equate Iran’s retaliation against Israel with the targeting of US interests, highlighting the large number of US citizens who live in Israel.

Costello acknowledges that Trump’s first term likewise had its fair share of foreign policy hawks. Back then, former National Security Adviser John Bolton, his replacement Robert O’Brien and former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo all advocated for militarised strategies to deal with Tehran.

“But there’s a big difference between Trump’s first term, when he elevated and very hawkish voices on Iran, and Trump’s second term,” Costello said.

He believes that this time, scepticism over US involvement in the Middle East extends throughout the ranks of the administration.

Costello pointed to a recent conflict between the head of US Central Command, General Michael Kurilla, and Undersecretary of Defense for Policy Elbridge Colby. The news outlet Semafor reported on Sunday that Kurilla was pushing to shift more military assets to the Middle East to defend Israel, but that Colby had opposed the move.

That schism, Costello argues, is part of a bigger shift in Trump’s administration and in the Republican Party at large.

“You have many prominent voices making the case that these wars of choice pursued by neoconservatives have been bankrupting Republican administrations and preventing them from focusing on issues that really matter,” Costello said.

Finucane has also observed a pivot from Trump’s first term to his second. In 2019, during his first four years as president, Finucane said that Trump’s national security team gave an “apparently unanimous recommendation” to strike Iran after it targeted a US surveillance drone.

Trump ultimately backed away from the plan in the final hours, according to multiple reports.

But a year later, the Trump administration assassinated Iranian General Qassem Soleimani in a drone strike in Iraq, another instance that brought the US to the brink of war.

Who will Trump listen to?

To be sure, experts say Trump has a notoriously mercurial approach to policy. The last person to speak to the president, observers have long said, will likely wield the most influence.

Trump also regularly seeks guidance from outside the White House when faced with consequential decisions, consulting mainstream media like Fox News, breakaway far-right pundits, social media personalities and top donors.

That was the case ahead of the possible 2019 US strike on Iran, with then-Fox News host Tucker Carlson reportedly among those urging Trump to back away from the attack.

Carlson has since been a leading voice calling for Trump to drop support for the “war-hungry government” of Netanyahu, urging the president to let Israeli officials “fight their own wars”.

But Carlson is not the only conservative media figure with influence over Trump. Conservative media host Mark Levin has advocated for military action against Iran, saying in recent days that Israel’s attacks should be the beginning of a campaign to overthrow Iran’s government.

Politico reported that Levin visited the White House for a private lunch with Trump in early June, just days before the US president offered his support for Iran’s strikes.

But Katulis at the Middle East Institute predicted that neither Trump’s cabinet nor media figures like Levin would prove to be the most consequential in guiding the president’s choices. Instead, Trump’s decision on whether to engage in the Israel-Iran conflict is likely to come down to which world leader gets his ear, and when.

“It’s a favourite Washington parlour game to pretend like the cabinet members and staffers matter more than they actually do,” Katulis told Al Jazeera.

“But I think, in the second Trump administration, it’s less who’s on his team formally and more who has he talked to most recently – whether it’s Netanyahu in Israel or some other leader in the region,” he said.

“I think that’s going to be more of a determining factor in what the United States decides to do next.”

Oil prices surge following Trump’s demand for Tehran evacuation

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Several US lawmakers said President Donald Trump will need a sign-off from Congress to use military force against Iran.

Thomas Massie, a Republican House member from Kentucky, said he would introduce a war powers resolution on Tuesday “to prohibit our involvement”.

Massie wrote on X: “This is not our war. But if it were, Congress must decide such matters according to our constitution.”

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, the progressive Democratic congresswoman from New York, replied: “Signing on.”

Tim Kaine, a Democratic senator from Virginia, separately introduced a war powers resolution in the Senate on Monday. 

Vermont senator Bernie Sanders also introduced legislation on Monday that would prohibit the “use of federal funds for any use of military force in or against Iran” without the authorisation of Congress. 

It remains unlikely that any of the measures will garner support from the majority of lawmakers, given the Republicans’ control of both chambers of Congress and Trump’s grip on his party.

But debates on the issue are likely to expose sharp divides on Capitol Hill, including between the more hawkish and isolationist elements of Trump’s party. 

Iranians Express Concern over Israeli Strikes Turning Tehran into Gaza

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Getty Images Tehran's skyline at night on Sunday 15 June, with three large plumes of smoke rising above the city and two large fires blazing belowGetty Images

Israel continued to strike Iran’s capital Tehran on Sunday night

Long queues at petrol stations and bakeries. Long lines of cars trying to escape the capital. And long, frightening nights.

Residents of Tehran – still shocked by Israel’s sudden attack on Iran in the early hours of Friday morning – speak of fear and confusion, a feeling of helplessness and conflicting emotions.

“We haven’t slept for nights,” a 21-year-old music student told me over an encrypted social media app.

“Everyone is leaving but I’m not. My dad says it’s more honourable to die in your own house than to run away.”

‘Donya’ – she doesn’t want to reveal her real name – is one of many Iranians now caught in a war between a regime she loathes and Israel, whose destructive power in Gaza she has witnessed on screen from afar.

“I really don’t want my beautiful Tehran to turn into Gaza,” she said.

As for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s call on Iranians to rise up against their clerical leadership, she has a firm response.

“We don’t want Israel to save us. No foreign country ever cared for Iran,” she said. “We also don’t want the Islamic Republic.”

Another woman said that at first she had felt a “strange excitement” to see Israel kill Iranian military officials so powerful that she thought they would live for ever.

“Suddenly that image of power was shattered,” she told BBC Persian.

“But from the second day, when I heard that regular people – people I didn’t know, people like me – had also been killed, I started to feel sorrow, fear and sadness.”

And she said her sadness turned to anger when she heard that the South Pars gas field had been hit, fearing that Israel was trying to turn Iran “into ruins”.

For the first time in her life, she said, she has started to prepare for the idea of dying.

More than 220 people – many of them women and children – have been killed since Friday, according to the Iranian authorities.

Israeli authorities say Iranian missiles have killed at least 24 people in Israel over the same period.

Getty Images Several lanes stuck in a traffic jam along a stretch of highway in Tehran at night, on 15 JuneGetty Images

Long queues of traffic stretched along Tehran’s roads as people tried to leave the city

Unlike in Israel, there are no warnings of imminent attacks in Iran, and no shelters to run to.

Missiles fall from the sky but a campaign of car bombs in Tehran – as reported by both Israeli and Iranian media – has sewn further panic and confusion.

Even some supporters of the regime are reported to be upset that its much-vaunted defences have been so thoroughly exposed.

And, among many Iranians, distrust in the authorities runs deep.

Donya used to defy the regime and its strict dress code by going out with her hair uncovered.

Now, with her university exams postponed until next week, she’s staying at home.

“I get so terrified at night,” she said. “I take some pills to help me relax and try to sleep.”

The Iranian government has suggested that people shelter in mosques and metro stations.

But that is hard, when the explosions seem to come out of nowhere.

“Tehran is a big city and yet every neighbourhood has been somehow affected by the damage,” another young woman told BBC Persian.

“For now, all we do is check the news every hour and call the friends and relatives whose neighbourhood has been hit to make sure they are still alive.”

She and her family have now left their home to stay in an area where there are no known government buildings.

But you never know, in a country like Iran, who may be living next to you.

The Israeli assault has divided Iranians, she said, with some celebrating the regime’s losses, while others are angry at those cheering Israel on.

Many Iranians keep changing their minds about what they think. Divisions are bitter, even among some families.

“The situation feels like the first hours after the Titanic hit the iceberg,” the woman said.

“Some people were trying to escape, some were saying it wasn’t a big deal, and others kept dancing.”

She has always protested against Iran’s clerical rulers, she told the BBC, but sees what Netanyahu is doing to her country as “inexcusable”.

“Everyone’s life, whether they supported the attacks or not, has been changed forever.

“Most Iranians, even those who oppose the government, have now realised that freedom and human rights don’t come from Israeli bombs falling on cities where defenceless civilians live.”

She added: “Most of us are scared and worried about what’s coming next. We’ve packed bags with first aid supplies, food, and water, just in case things get worse.”

Israel says the Iranian armed forces have deliberately placed their command centres and weapons inside civilian buildings and areas.

Members of Iran’s large diaspora are also worried.

“It’s hard to convey what it’s like to be an Iranian right now,” says Dorreh Khatibi-Hill, a Leeds-based women’s rights activist and researcher who is in touch with family, friends and other anti-regime activists.

“You’re happy that members of the regime – who have been torturing and murdering people – are being taken out.

“But we know that civilians are dying. This is a devastating humanitarian disaster.”

And Iranians are not being given accurate information on what is happening, she says.

“The main person in Iran – the supreme leader – is still alive while Iranians are fleeing for their lives,” she adds.

“No one wants Iran to turn into another Iraq, Syria or Afghanistan. None of us wants this war. We don’t want the regime either.”