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Floral tributes honor Australian ‘Hero’ who bravely disarmed Bondi gunman

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Floral tributes for Australian 'Hero' who disarmed Bondi gunman

BBC discovers alleged British abuse victims on Epstein’s UK flights

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Chi Chi Izundu,

Olivia Daviesand

Will Dahlgreen,BBC News Investigations

US Department of Justice/PA Jeffrey Epstein, a man with grey hair wearing a bright blue polo shirt and an orange anorak, smiling broadly as he stands in front of his private plane - a black jet with chrome detailing on the wings and around the engines, with five porthole-style windows visible on the right-hand side.US Department of Justice/PA

Epstein took dozens more flights to the UK than were previously known

Almost 90 flights linked to Jeffrey Epstein arrived at and departed from UK airports, some with British women on board who say they were abused by the billionaire, a BBC investigation has found.

We have established that three British women who were allegedly trafficked appear in Epstein’s records of flights in and out of the UK and other documents related to the convicted sex offender.

US lawyers representing hundreds of Epstein victims told the BBC it was “shocking” that there has never been a “full-scale UK investigation” into his activities on the other side of the Atlantic.

The UK was one of the “centrepieces” of Epstein’s operations, one said.

Testimony from one of these British victims helped convict Epstein’s accomplice Ghislaine Maxwell of child sex-trafficking in the US in 2021. But the victim has never been contacted by UK police, her Florida-based lawyer Brad Edwards told the BBC.

The woman, given the name Kate in the trial, was listed as having been on more than 10 flights paid for by Epstein in and out of the UK between 1999 and 2006.

The BBC is not publishing further details about the women in the documents because of the risk this might identify them.

US lawyer Sigrid McCawley said the British authorities have “not taken a closer look at those flights, at where he was at, who he was seeing at those moments, and who was with him on those planes, and conducted a full investigation”.

US Attorney's Office SDNY Epstein, a man with grey hair and glasses perched on his head, sitting on a bench outside a log cabin on the Balmoral estate, wearing a pale sweatshirt. His left arm is around Maxwell's shoulder, who rests her hand on his knee. Maxwell has short brown hair and wears and blue checked shirt.US Attorney’s Office SDNY

More information has emerged about Epstein, pictured here with Maxwell, and his UK links

Under the Jeffrey Epstein Transparency Act, the deadline to release all US government files on the sex-offender financier is Friday.

But the flight logs were among thousands of documents from court cases and Epstein’s estate which have been already made public over the past year, revealing more about his time in the UK, such as trips to royal residences.

The BBC examined these documents as part of an investigation trying to piece together Epstein’s activities in the UK.

It revealed that:

  • The incomplete flight logs and manifests record 87 flights linked to Epstein – dozens more than were previously known – arriving or departing from UK airports between the early 1990s and 2018
  • Unidentified “females” were listed among the passengers travelling into and out of the UK in the logs
  • Fifteen of the UK flights took place after Epstein’s 2008 conviction for soliciting sex from a minor, which should have raised questions from immigration officials

Although Epstein died in jail in 2019, before his trial on charges of trafficking minors for sex, legal experts have told the BBC a UK investigation could reveal whether British-based people enabled his crimes.

Two months ago the BBC sent the Metropolitan Police, which has previously examined allegations about Epstein’s activities in Britain, publicly available information about the UK flights with suspected trafficking victims on board.

Later, we sent the Met a detailed list of questions about whether it would investigate evidence of possible British victims of Epstein trafficked in and out of the UK.

The Met did not respond to our questions. On Saturday, it released a broader statement saying that it had “not received any additional evidence that would support reopening the investigation” into Epstein and Maxwell’s trafficking activities in the UK.

“Should new and relevant information be brought to our attention”, including any resulting from the release of material in the US, “we will assess it”, the Met said.

Sigrid McCawley, a woman with wavey blond hair and wearing a black dress, pictured in close-up in an office, looking to the left of the camera, with the background out of focus.

Sigrid McCawley, who represents hundreds of Epstein victims, criticised the Met for declining to investigate

US lawyer Brad Edwards, who has been representing Epstein victims since 2008, told us “three or four” of his clients are British women “who were abused on British soil both by Jeffrey Epstein and others”.

Other victims were recruited in the UK, trafficked to the United States and abused there, he said.

Mr Edwards said he is also representing women of other nationalities who say they were trafficked to the UK for abuse by Epstein and others.

Our analysis shows Epstein used commercial and chartered flights, as well as his private planes, to travel to the UK and to arrange transport for others, including alleged trafficking victims.

More than 50 of the flights involved his private jets, mostly flying to and from Luton Airport, with several flights at Birmingham International Airport, and one arrival and departure each at RAF Marham in west Norfolk and at Edinburgh Airport.

Limited records of commercial and chartered flights taken by Epstein, or paid for by him, show dozens more journeys, mainly via London Heathrow, but also Stansted and Gatwick.

In a number of the logs of Epstein’s private planes, including some detailing trips to the UK, women on the flight are identified only as unnamed “females”.

A graphic showing entries in a page of the Epstein flight logs with airport codes in one column, the flight number in another and a column with notes which includes details of the passengers in most cases and the word "reposition" in two cases. The names of the people on board have been redacted, except for the initials JE and GM - Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell - on all of the flights with passengers named. One note is highlighted, with the text spelling out that the cramped handwriting says simply "1 FEMALE".

“He’s absolutely choosing airports where he feels it will be easier for him to get in and out with victims that he’s trafficking,” said Ms McCawley.

Private aircraft did not have to provide passenger details to UK authorities before departure in the same way as commercial aircraft during the period covered by the documents we examined. The Home Office told us they were “not subject to the same centralised record-keeping”.

That loophole was only closed in April last year.

Kate, the British woman who testified against Maxwell, was on some of the commercial flights in the records we examined. She described in court that she had been 17 when Maxwell befriended her and introduced her to Epstein – who then sexually abused her at Maxwell’s central London home.

In the 2021 trial, she described how Maxwell gave her a schoolgirl outfit to wear and asked her to find other girls for Epstein. As well as the dozen flights to and from the UK, Kate told the court she had been flown to Epstein’s island in the US Virgin Islands, New York and Palm Beach in Florida, where she says the abuse continued into her 30s.

Reuters A court sketch of Kate testifying in Ghislaine Maxwell's trial. Kate is shown as wearing a black shirt and having fair hair but her face is blurred in the sketch to protect her identity. She stands in the witness box with a judge wearing a black Covid-era face mask to the left of her. In front of her is the stenographer and one of the attorneys, a woman with a long brown ponytail. Ghislaine Maxwell is pictured in the foreground, frowning under her own black face mask, and looking away from the witness.Reuters

Kate, pictured on the right with her face blurred, testified at Maxwell’s trial

Mr Edwards, her lawyer, told BBC News that even after that testimony, Kate has “never been asked” by any UK authorities any questions about her experience – “not even a phone call”.

He said that if British police were to launch an investigation into Epstein’s activities and his enablers, Kate would be happy to help.

Prof Bridgette Carr, a human-trafficking expert at the University of Michigan Law School, said trafficking cases usually require many people working together.

“It’s never just one bad person,” she said. “You don’t think about the accountant and the lawyer and the banker – or all the bankers – and all these people that had to implicitly, and sometimes explicitly, be OK with what was happening for it to continue.”

There are also questions about how Epstein was able to travel freely to the UK after his 2008 conviction for soliciting a minor for sex, which meant he had to register as a sex offender in Florida, New York and the US Virgin Islands.

Epstein was released from prison in 2009 after serving 13 months. Documents suggest Epstein took a Virgin Atlantic flight from the US to London Heathrow in September 2010, just two months after he completed his probation on house arrest.

A graph showing the number of Epstein-related flights to the UK by year, starting at one flight a year in the early 1990s and sometimes rising, sometimes falling until it reaches a peak of 17 flights in 2006. There is a gap then until after his release from prison in 2009, when there are 15 flights scattered among the years up until 2018.

Home Office rules at the time said foreign nationals who received a prison sentence of 12 months or more should, in most cases, have been refused entry.

But immigration lawyer Miglena Ilieva, managing partner at ILEX Law Group, told us that US citizens did not usually require a UK visa for short stays, so there was no application process where they would be asked about criminal convictions.

“It was very much at the discretion of the individual immigration officer who would receive this person at the border,” she said.

The Home Office said it does not hold immigration and visa records beyond 10 years and added “it is longstanding government policy that we do not routinely comment on individual cases”.

During the 1980s, Epstein also used a foreign passport – issued in Austria with his picture and a false name – to enter the UK as well as France, Spain and Saudi Arabia, according to US authorities.

Epstein also listed London as his place of residence in 1985, when he applied for a replacement passport, ABC News has previously reported.

Brad Edwards, a man with short brown hair and a determined look on his face, pictured in a close-up portrait with the background blurred. He wears a navy suit, a pale blue shirt and a blue and grey tie.

Brad Edwards says his British client Kate has never been contacted by UK police

In its statement on Saturday, the Met said it had contacted “several other potential victims” when it examined 2015 allegations by Virginia Giuffre that she had been trafficked for sexual exploitation by Epstein and Maxwell.

Ms Giuffre also said she was forced to have sex with Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor on three occasions, including when she was 17 at Maxwell’s home in London, in 2001. The former prince has consistently denied the allegations against him.

The Met said its examination of Ms Giuffre’s claims “did not result in any allegation of criminal conduct against any UK-based nationals” and it concluded that “other international authorities were best placed to progress these allegations”.

That decision was reviewed in August 2019 and again in 2021 and 2022 with the same result, it said.

But for lawyer Sigrid McCawley, the message the Met is sending to victims is “that if you come to law enforcement and this is a powerful person you’re reporting on… it will not get investigated.”

Charlotte Milkie, Winter Juniors Runner-Up, Commits Verbally to USC for 2027

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By Anya Pelshaw on SwimSwam

Fitter and Faster Swim Camps is the proud sponsor of SwimSwam’s College Recruiting Channel and all commitment news. For many, swimming in college is a lifelong dream that is pursued with dedication and determination. Fitter and Faster is proud to honor these athletes and those who supported them on their journey.

Charlotte Milkie from Riverside, California has announced her commitment to continue her academic and athletic careers at USC beginning in fall 2027.

“I am so blessed to announce my verbal commitment to continue my academic and athletic journey at the University of Southern California!  A huge thank you to Coach Lea, Coach Meghan, and all USC coaching and staff for believing in me and giving me this opportunity. FIGHT ON!”

Milkie swims for Circle City Aquatics of Corona and just finished racing at Winter Juniors-West this past weekend. She most notably finished 2nd in the 200 freestyle in a 1:46.48, a lifetime best by 0.82 seconds. She also swam a lifetime best 4:49.13 in the 500 free for 13th and was 18th in the 100 free in a 49.98.

She is currently a junior at Santiago High School and was 2nd in the 200 free back in May at the CIF State Championships. She touched in a 1:49.44 and also was 4th in the 100 free in a 50.24.

Milkie’s Best SCY Times Are:

  • 100 free: 49.95
  • 200 free: 1:46.48
  • 500 free: 4:49.13

The USC women finished 5th at the 2025 Big Ten Championships in their first season in the Big Ten and went on to finish 11th at 2025 NCAAs. Hungarian native Minna Abraham led the team at NCAAs with 31 points including a 2nd place finish in the 200 free. Abraham currently sits at #2 in the NCAA this season in the 200 free with a 1:40.47, sitting only behind Virginia’s Anna Moesch. As Milkie does not arrive until fall 2027, she will not overlap with Abraham but will instead look to fill some of the gap due to Abraham’s graduation.

Based on her best times, Milkie is a huge addition at the conference level already and she has almost two years until her arrival. Her 200 free time would have already made the Big Ten ‘B’ final this past season. It took a 49.60 100 free and a 4:46.00 in the 500 free to earn a second swim.

Milkie will arrive in fall 2027 as a member of the class of 2031 along with Rowyn Wilber who comes from Fresno, California and also just competed at Winter Juniors-West this past week as she swam the 500 free, 400 IM, and 200 back.

If you have a commitment to report, please send an email with a photo (landscape, or horizontal, looks best) and a quote to Recruits@swimswam.com.

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Read the full story on SwimSwam: Winter Juniors Runner-Up Charlotte Milkie Sends Verbal To USC For 2027

Top Camping Tents of 2025: Best Rooftop, Inflatable, Hammock, and General Options

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It proved to be a fun year for tents. We tracked new tent designs of all styles, shapes and sizes a little more closely than we have in the past and saw a whole lot of innovation and activity. The year brought the further expansion of high-performance freestanding ultralight tents from boutique brands, the preponderance of covetable inflatable tents ranging from backpack size to multi-tent base camp size, the refinement of comfier, fuller featured rooftop tents, and the launch of a few flat-lying hammock tents designed for increased comfort and stability, from ground to air. Here’s a look at our staff and reader favorites from 2025.

Three Las Vegas-style casinos are set to open in New York City

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The New York Mets’ ballpark in Queens. A Bronx golf course once operated by President Donald Trump ’s company. A slot parlor on a horse racing track near John F. Kennedy International Airport.

The three disparate sites, located far from the tourist hub of Manhattan, will become the future homes of New York City’s first Las Vegas-style resort casinos.

The state Gaming Commission on Monday awarded the three projects licenses to operate in the lucrative metropolitan-area market during a meeting at a riverside park in upper Manhattan.

The panel approved the licenses with the condition that the companies each appoint an outside monitor that would report regularly to the commission to ensure they meet their financial and legal obligations, as well as the promised investments they made to local communities.

Brian O’Dwyer, the commission’s chair, said the state looked forward to the promise of jobs, infrastructure improvements and gaming revenue being realized.

“You all have an important charge ahead of you, and you can be assured that this commission takes our responsibility to keep your feet to the fire with great respect,” he said to the project representatives in attendance.

Democratic New York Gov. Kathy Hochul said in a statement the projects would pump billions of dollars into the state’s transit and education systems and create tens of thousands of jobs.

But a handful of protesters opposed to billionaire Mets owner Steve Cohen’s Hard Rock plan vowed to continue their fight in court. They and other casino opponents worry the projects will only increase gambling addiction.

“You picked a billionaire over New Yorkers! Shame on you!” the group shouted as they walked out of the meeting.

Cohen and Hard Rock’s proposal calls for an $8.1 billion casino complex on a parking lot next to the Mets’ Citi Field that would include a performance venue, hotel and retail space.

Bally’s has proposed a roughly $4 billion casino at the Ferry Point golf course in the Bronx that would include a hotel, event center, meeting spaces, restaurants and other amenities.

And Resorts World has proposed investing more than $5 billion to expand its slots parlor at Aqueduct Race Track in Queens into a full casino with a hotel, dining and entertainment options.

The projects bested several other proposals that fell by the wayside during the high-stakes competition.

Among them were three casinos proposed for Manhattan that were rejected by local boards, including a Caesars Palace in the heart of Times Square backed by rapper Jay-Z. A plan for a resort on Coney Island’s iconic boardwalk in Brooklyn was also defeated by local opposition, and MGM abruptly pulled out of the once-crowded sweepstakes, despite local support.

The state gaming commission was authorized to license up to three casinos in the New York City area after voters approved a referendum in 2013 opening the door to casino gambling statewide.

Four full casinos, all upstate, now offer table games. The state also runs nine gambling halls without live table games, many of them also miles away from Manhattan.

Monday’s decision, in some ways, was largely a formality. Millions of dollars in gambling revenues are already factored into the state budget.

A state panel charged with vetting the proposals for the commission also recommended awarding a license to all three remaining proposals earlier this month.

The Gaming Facility Location Board, in its written decision, argued that the region’s dense and relatively affluent population, combined with high tourism, would be able to support all three plans, despite their relative proximity to each other.

The panel said its consultants conservatively estimated the casinos would generate a combined $7 billion in gambling tax revenues from 2027 to 2036, plus $1.5 billion in licensing fees and nearly $6 billion in state and local taxes.

Monday’s decision also means Trump could stand to claim a substantial prize. When Bally’s purchased operating rights for the city-owned Ferry Point golf course from the Trump Organization in 2023, it agreed to pony up an additional $115 million if it won a casino license.

Spokespersons for the Trump Organization didn’t respond to an email seeking comment Monday on the expected windfall.

Russian court classifies punk band Pussy Riot as ‘extremist’ organization | Updates on Vladimir Putin

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Exiled punk band says its members are proud to be branded ‘extremists’ and hits back at Putin as an ‘aging sociopath’.

A Moscow district court has designated Russian punk protest band Pussy Riot as an extremist organisation, according to the state TASS news agency.

The exiled group’s lawyer, Leonid Solovyov, told TASS that Monday’s court ruling was made in response to claims brought by the Russian Prosecutor General’s Office and that the band plans to appeal. According to TASS, the case was heard in a closed session at the request of the Prosecutor General’s Office.

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The court said that it had upheld prosecution submissions “to recognise the punk band Pussy Riot as an extremist organisation and ban its activities on the territory of the Russian Federation”, the AFP news agency reports.

An official Pussy Riot social media account shared a statement, responding defiantly to the ruling, saying the band’s members, who have lived in exile for years, were “freer than those who try to silence us”.

“We can say what I think about putin — that he is an aging sociopath spreading his venom around the world like cancer,” the statement said.

“In today’s Russia, telling the truth is extremism. So be it – we’re proud extremists, then.”

The group’s designation will make it easier for the authorities to go after the band’s supporters in Russia or people who have worked with them in the past.

“This court order is designed to erase the very existence of Pussy Riot from the minds of Russians,” the band said. “Owning a balaclava, having our song on your computer, or liking one of our posts could lead to prison time.”

According to TASS, earlier reports said that the Prosecutor General’s Office had brought the case over Pussy Riot’s previous actions, including at Christ the Saviour Cathedral in February 2012, and the World Cup Final in Moscow in 2018.

The band’s members have already served sentences for the 2012 protest at the cathedral in Moscow, where they played what they called a punk prayer, “Mother of God, Cast Putin Out!”

Nadezhda Tolokonnikova and Maria Alyokhina, who were jailed for two years on hooliganism charges over the cathedral protest, were released as part of a 2013 amnesty, which extended to some 26,000 people facing prosecution from Russian authorities, including 30 Greenpeace crew members.

In September, a Russian court handed jail terms to five people linked with Pussy Riot – Maria Alyokhina, Taso Pletner, Olga Borisova, Diana Burkot and Alina Petrova – after finding them guilty of spreading “false information” about the Russian military, news outlet Mediazona reported. All have said the charges against them are politically motivated.

Mediazona was founded by Alyokhina alongside fellow band member Tolokonnikova.

The news outlet says that it is continuing to maintain a verified list of Russian military deaths in Moscow’s war on Ukraine.

“We have confirmed 153,000 names, each supported by evidence, context, and documentation,” Mediazona said on Monday.

Ollie Wards steps down as Director of Music for Australia and New Zealand at TikTok

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Following the news that Charlotte Stahl is leaving her position as TikTok’s Head of Music Partnerships for Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA), Ollie Wards has announced he’s leaving the role of Director of Music for Australia and New Zealand.

“After an awesome 5.5 years, soon I’m hanging up my headphones at TikTok!” Wards wrote in a post on LinkedIn. He noted in the post that he is “open for business” in 2026. TikTok has not announced a successor to Wards.

Wards joined TikTok in 2020, having come over from triple j, Australia’s state-funded broadcaster aimed at a youth music audience – where he served in numerous roles, including producer, program director and network lead.

In his LinkedIn post, Wards listed off some of the accomplishments of his time at TikTok, including building a digital radio station in partnership with iHeart; creating the first TikTok x TV simulcasts; producing TikTok Awards performances; and producing the first TikTok stadium livestream with Six60 when New Zealand was one of the few places where concerts could be held during pandemic lockdowns.

“But rather than ‘what’ I was part of, it’s the ‘how’ I’m most proud of,” Wards wrote.

“One of the first things I did at TikTok was create ‘liner notes’. A list of 11 guiding principles… to work by. A set of stated values we’d aim to live up to in service of our artists, music industry and TikTok audience.

“In a world of increasingly opaque pathways for artists, pitch portals, helpdesks and bots – hopefully that approach of being a human amongst it all helped.”

Ollie Wards, TikTok

“For example, #3 liner note is: ‘We aim to be contactable, while being effective at scale and as transparent as possible with our artists and industry partners – the most ‘human’ team at a music platform.’”

“In a world of increasingly opaque pathways for artists, pitch portals, helpdesks and bots – hopefully that approach of being a human amongst it all helped. Though maybe being ‘human’ is the minimum.”

Wards’ announcement on Thursday (December 11) came a day after Charlotte Stahl announced on her own LinkedIn page that she is departing the role of Head of Music Partnerships for the EMEA region after a year-and-a-half in the position. TikTok hasn’t announced a replacement for Stahl’s role.

And both those departures take place in the shadow of Ole Obermann leaving his role as Global Head of Music Business Development at TikTok parent ByteDance, with Tracy Gardner taking on the role as of March of this year.

In April, Obermann joined Apple Music as Co-Head of the platform with Rachel Newman.Music Business Worldwide

The implications of divisions within the Maga base for Trump

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Anthony Zurcher profile image

Anthony ZurcherSenior North America reporter

BBC A treated image showing a slice of Trump's face in the middle, surrounded by  crowds holding Maga signs on either side BBC

At a meeting of his cabinet at the White House two weeks ago, US President Donald Trump looked around the long room filled with his top advisers, administration officials and aides, and made a prediction.

The next Republican presidential candidate, he said, is “probably sitting at this table”.

“It could be a couple of people sitting at this table,” he added, hinting at possible electoral clashes to come.

Despite a constitutional amendment limiting him to two four-year terms, his supporters chanted “four more years” at a rally last Tuesday night in Pennsylvania. Trump said at the time that the final three years of his second term amount to an “eternity”.

But in the cabinet room last week, when talking about prospects for the 2028 Republican president nomination, he was clear: “It’s not going to be me.”

The next presidential election may seem a long way off, but Trump’s own speculation – and certain frictions within Trump’s coalition – suggest that the jockeying to succeed and define the Make America Great Again (Maga) movement after Trump is well under way.

EPA/Shutterstock US President Donald Trump (C) makes his opening remarks as he holds a meeting with his cabinet in the Cabinet Room of the White House EPA/Shutterstock

At 78 when he was sworn in for the second time, Trump was the oldest person ever elected president – some media outlets suggested may be slowing him down; Trump called such speculation “seditious”

In last month’s local elections, the Republican Party lost support among the minority and working-class voters who helped Trump win back the White House in 2024.

Members of his team have feuded over policy. And some, most notably Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene, have cut loose from his orbit, accusing the president of losing touch with the Americans who gave him power.

There has been speculation about fractures within the Maga base in certain quarters of the international press, as well as at home. On Monday, a headline in The Washington Post asked: “Maga leaders warn Trump the base is checking out. Will he listen?”

The warning signs are there. While Trump has long been known for being in tune with his base, the months ahead will pose a series of challenges to the president and his movement. Nothing less than his political legacy is at stake.

From Vance to Rubio: A team of rivals?

It was all smiles and talk of historic presidential achievements inside the friendly confines of Trump’s newly redecorated, gold-bedecked cabinet room two weeks ago.

But the presidential aspirants Trump may have had in mind as he looked around the table hint at just how hard it could be to keep his Maga movement from stretching apart at the seams.

Vice-President JD Vance sat directly across from the president. As his running mate, he is widely considered to be Trump’s most likely heir apparent – the favourite of Trump’s sons and libertarian Silicon Valley tech billionaires.

Getty Images  J.D. Vance is sworn in as U.S. vice president as his wife Usha Vance and family and President Donald Trump look on 
Getty Images

Vance, more than perhaps anyone in Trump’s inner circle, is allied with those trying to give Trumpism an ideological foundation

Secretary of State Marco Rubio was on the president’s immediate right. The former Florida senator, who competed with Trump for the Republican nomination in 2016, had spent the past 10 years undergoing a Maga transformation.

He has jettisoned his past support for liberalising immigration policy and his hard line on Russia in lieu of Trump’s America First foreign policy. But if there is anyone close to an old-guard Republican with influence in Trump’s party, Rubio tops the list.

Then there is Secretary Robert F Kennedy Jr, whose vaccine scepticism and “Make America Healthy Again” agenda have sent earthquakes through the US health bureaucracy; he sat two down from Rubio. The Democrat-turned-independent-turned-Republican is a living embodiment of the strange ideological bedfellows Trump made on his way to re-election last year.

And finally, Kristi Noem, the homeland security secretary, was tucked off to the corner of the table. While the former South Dakota governor is not considered a major presidential contender, her advocacy for aggressive immigration enforcement – including a recent call for a full travel ban on “every damn country that’s been flooding our nation with killers, leeches and entitlement junkies” – has made her a prominent face of administration’s policies.

Reuters A hand reaches out and tries to reach a MAGA hat
Reuters

The jockeying to succeed and define the Maga movement after Trump is already under way

Each might believe they could, if they chose to run, become Trump’s political heir and take control of the political movement that has reshaped American politics over the last decade.

But to paraphrase Benjamin Franklin’s comments at the birth of American democracy, whoever wins the Republican nomination will have been given a winning coalition – if they can keep it.

The Republican empire transformed

Of course none of this is guaranteed – nor is it certain that the next generation of Maga leaders will be someone from the president’s inner circle. Trump stormed the White House as a political outsider. The next Republican leader may follow a similar path.

“It’s going to be up to the next Republican president who follows Trump to set him or herself apart,” says former Republican Congressman Rodney Davis of Illinois, who now works for the US Chamber of Commerce.

“But at the same time make sure that you don’t go too far away, because clearly it’s Donald Trump [who] got elected president twice.”

When the November 2028 presidential election rolls around, American voters may not even want someone like Trump. Some public opinion polls suggest that the president may not be as popular as he once was.

A survey by YouGov earlier this month indicated the president had a net approval rating of -14, compared with +6 when he took office again in January. Then there are concerns about the economy and his relentless efforts to push the boundaries of presidential power.

Getty Images President Donald Trump gestures to supporters following a campaign rally
Getty Images

Leadership of Trump’s movement still represents the keys to the Republican empire

Leadership of Trump’s movement still represents the keys to the Republican empire, however, even if that empire has drastically changed in recent years.

“I think the Republican coalition has become fundamentally different over the last few decades,” said Davis, who served in Congress from 2013 to 2023. “The Republican coalition that existed when Ronald Reagan was elected is not the Republican coalition anymore.”

Back in the 1980s, the Reagan coalition was a fusion of free-market economics, cultural conservatism, anti-communism and international foreign affairs, says Laura K Field, author of Furious Minds: The Making of the Maga New Right.

Trump’s party, she continues, was perhaps best described by long-time Trump adviser and current state department official Michael Anton in a 2016 essay advocating for Trump’s election. In contrast with the Reagan era, its core principles include “secure borders, economic nationalism and America-first foreign policy”.

‘Normie Republicans’ versus ‘the edgelords’

Earlier this month, the conservative Manhattan Institute released a comprehensive survey of Republican voters, shedding more light on the composition of Trump’s coalition.

It suggested that 65% of the current Republican Party are what it calls “core Republicans” – those who have supported party presidential nominees since at least 2016. (If they were alive in the 1980s, they may well have voted for Reagan.)

On the other hand, 29% are what the Institute called “new entrant Republicans”. It is among those new Republicans that the challenge to the durability of Trump’s coalition presents itself.

Only just over half said they would “definitely” support a Republican in next year’s mid-term congressional elections.

According to the survey, the new entrants are younger, more diverse and more likely to hold views that break with traditional conservative orthodoxy. They hold comparatively more left-leaning views of economic policy, they tend to be more liberal on immigration and social issues, and they may also be more pro-China or critical of Israel, for example.

AFP via Getty Images Someone wears a MAGA ring AFP via Getty Images

Trump was able to attract ‘new entrant Republican’ voters into his coalition – the question is whether he and his political heirs can keep them, or if they even want to

Jesse Arm, vice-president of external affairs at the Manhattan Institute, told the BBC in an email: “A lot of the conversation about the future of the right is being driven by the loudest and strangest voices online, rather than by the voters who actually make up the bulk of the Republican coalition.”

Perhaps not surprisingly, the so-called new entrant Republican voters are significantly less supportive of some of Trump’s would-be heirs. While 70% of core Republicans have positive views of Rubio and 80% for Vance, just over half of new entrants feel that way about either.

Other findings could be more concerning for Republicans.

More than half of new entrants believe the use of political violence in American politics “is sometimes justified” – compared to just 20% among core Republicans.

It also suggests they may be more likely to be tolerant of racist or anti-Semitic speech and more prone to conspiratorial thinking – on topics like the moon landings, 9/11 and vaccines.

Trump was able to attract these voters into his coalition. The question is whether he and his political heirs can keep them there – or if they even want to.

“The real takeaway is not that these voters will ‘define’ the post-Trump GOP, but that future Republican leaders will have to draw clear lines about who sets the agenda,” argues Mr Arm.

“The heart of the party remains normie Republicans, not the edgelords that both the media and the dissident right are strangely invested in elevating.”

Clashes in the conservative ranks

The divides revealed in the Manhattan Institute poll helps explain some of the most notable frictions within the Trump coalition over the past few months.

The Trump-Greene feud that culminated in the latter’s resignation from Congress began with her backing of a full release of the government files connected to the Jeffrey Epstein underage sex-trafficking case – long a source of conservative conspiracy theories.

It broadened, however, into a critique of Trump’s Middle East policy and accusations of his failure to address cost-of-living and healthcare concerns for low-income American voters.

An earlier high-profile Maga split erupted over Trump’s economic policy, with billionaire Elon Musk, a strong supporter and member of Trump’s inner circle at the start of the year, going on to condemn certain tariffs and government spending policies.

Reuters Elon Musk speaks during a press conference with US President Donald Trump (not pictured), at the White House 
Reuters

An earlier high-profile Maga split erupted over Trump’s economic policy

The president has, for the moment, largely tried to stay out of another bitter clash within conservative ranks over whether Nick Fuentes, a far-right political commentator and Holocaust denier, is welcome within the conservative movement.

It’s a dispute that has roiled the influential Heritage Foundation and pitted some powerful right-wing commentators against each other.

According to Ms Field, those who follow Trump may find it a difficult conflict to avoid. “Nick Fuentes has a huge following,” she says. “Part of how the conservative movement got the energy and power that they’ve got is by peddling to this part of the Republican Party.”

In the halls of the Republican-controlled Congress, some signs of friction with the president’s agenda are showing. Despite White House lobbying, it couldn’t stop the House from passing a measure mandating release of the Epstein files.

The president has also been unable to convince Senate Republicans to abandon the filibuster, a parliamentary procedure Democrats in the minority have been able to block some of Trump’s agenda.

AFP via Getty Images Supporters hold signs during a Make America Great Again campaign rally 
AFP via Getty Images

Even a defeat next year – or in 2028 – is unlikely to mark the end of Trumpism

Meanwhile, Trump’s party has been stumbling at the polls, with the Democrats winning governorships in Virginia and New Jersey last month by comfortable margins.

In dozens of contested special elections for state and local seats over the past year, Democrats have on average improved their margins by around 13% over similar races held in last November’s national elections.

The future of Trumpism

All of this will be front of mind for Republicans ahead of the 2026 mid-term congressional elections – and it will do little to ease the concerns held by some that, without Trump at the top of the ticket, their coalition will struggle to deliver reliable ballot-box victories.

Yet even a defeat next year – or in 2028 – is unlikely to mark the end of Trumpism.

The ascent by Trump’s Maga movement to the pinnacle of American power has been far from a smooth one. It includes a mid-term rout in 2018 and Trump himself losing in 2020, before his re-election last November.

But the changes that Trump has wrought within the Republican Party itself appear to be foundational ones, according to Ms Field. His Maga coalition builds on strains of populist movements in the US that date back decades or more – from Barry Goldwater’s insurgent presidential campaign in 1964 to the Tea Party protests during Barack Obama’s presidency.

“These things are not coming out of nowhere. They are forces in American politics that have been underground for a while, but have been just kind of fermenting.”

The old Republican order, she argues, is a relic of the past.

“The Trump movement is here to stay and there’s no real likelihood of the old establishment returning with any sort of clout – that much is clear.”

Top picture credit: Getty Images

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Jewish Community on High Alert After Bondi Beach Attack

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“It’s a day that I think we were all dreading in the Jewish community. It was the day that we had, I suppose, in many ways, warned government and higher authorities of the possibility and the risk. And it feels almost like we were unheard, almost invisible.” “This was a massacre, a pogrom here in our city, here at one of our most cherished landmarks, Bondi Beach. Lives shattered irrevocably in a single moment. Young children, who from this point forward, will never have a father. Parents who have lost their beloved 10-year-old daughter. This is the moment we’ve arrived at. This isn’t something we should ever have seen in Australia.” “I think everyone knew this was going to happen sooner or later with the trajectory that we were on as a society, but for it to actually happen here at our Hanukkah event at Bondi Beach, which every year is just the most beautiful family event with kids running around and — it’s a celebration.” “Eli was a really wonderful, warm, caring, vivacious, energetic, outgoing guy, who loved people, loved doing good, loved caring for other people. The instant reaction like so many other human beings, is pointing fingers at whoever you might point fingers at with anxiety. Why aren’t the media raising the concerns of the Jewish community? Why aren’t governments understanding the way we feel and the threats that we face? We feel lonely. And then my brain says, no, stop. I’m a rabbi. I’m not a politician. My job is to spread goodness. I know this is what Eli would be saying.”